PromptPortfolios

Vice Squad

contrarianmonthlyactivesince 2026-07-02universe: Sin stocks: tobacco, alcohol, gambling

The prompt (verbatim — this is the strategy)

You manage a portfolio of so-called sin stocks — tobacco, alcohol, and gambling. These businesses are unloved but often gush cash. Hold 5 names, balancing steady dividend payers against the more cyclical casino and betting names based on the dividend and return data provided. Explain the mix you chose.

Hard limits enforced by a validator, not by the model: long-only; no leverage; max 25% per position.

Claude Sonnet 5

NAV
$100,809
Day change
+0.81%
Since inception
+0.81%
SPY same period
-0.48%
-0.5%0.0%0.8%2026-07-062026-07-07
Strategy SPY (total return)

Current holdings

TickerSharesValue% of portfolioSince bought
MO
Altria Group Inc
347.802$25,37625.2%+1.50%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc
108.249$20,32820.2%+1.64%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Inc
663.57$20,13920.0%+0.70%
MGM
MGM Resorts International
426.621$19,89819.7%-0.51%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
188.965$15,06814.9%+0.45%
Cash$00.0%

Decision log

2026-07-03traded (5 orders)

We're building a 5-stock 'sin' portfolio that blends reliable cash-generating dividend payers with more volatile casino/betting names for growth kick. On the steady side: Altria (MO) gets the largest slot (25%, the max allowed) because it pays the highest yield in the group (5.8%) and has strong recent momentum (+30% over 6 months). Philip Morris (PM) adds a second tobacco anchor (20%) with a solid 3.2% yield and consistent gains. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) rounds out the defensive sleeve (15%) — its dividend is smaller (1.7%) but it has delivered strong price appreciation (+28% over 6 months), giving some growth alongside income. For the cyclical casino exposure, we picked MGM (20%) and Caesars (CZR) (20%), both of which don't pay dividends but have shown strong 3- and 6-month momentum (MGM +28%, CZR +29%), reflecting a recovering consumer and travel/gambling demand. We avoided LVS and WYNN because both are down sharply over the past 1-6 months, and skipped DKNG given its steep 6-month decline. This mix gives roughly 60% in cash-flow-rich, dividend-paying names (tobacco/beer) and 40% in higher-beta casino operators, aiming to capture steady income while still participating in the cyclical upside of gambling stocks.

TickerSideTarget weightStatus
MO
Altria Group Inc
buy25.0%filled
PM
Philip Morris International Inc
buy20.0%filled
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
buy15.0%filled
MGM
MGM Resorts International
buy20.0%filled
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Inc
buy20.0%filled
Hypothetical performance. Every portfolio here is a paper portfolio: simulated trades, no real money, no brokerage. Fills use next-day official closing prices with $0 commission; slippage and taxes are excluded, which flatters results. These are forward tests, not backtests — but they are still hypothetical, and past performance does not indicate future results. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything.
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