Vice Squad
contrarianmonthlyactivesince 2026-07-02universe: Sin stocks: tobacco, alcohol, gambling
The prompt (verbatim — this is the strategy)
Hard limits enforced by a validator, not by the model: long-only; no leverage; max 25% per position.
Claude Sonnet 5
Current holdings
| Ticker | Shares | Value | % of portfolio | Since bought |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MO Altria Group Inc | 347.802 | $25,376 | 25.2% | +1.50% |
| PM Philip Morris International Inc | 108.249 | $20,328 | 20.2% | +1.64% |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc | 663.57 | $20,139 | 20.0% | +0.70% |
| MGM MGM Resorts International | 426.621 | $19,898 | 19.7% | -0.51% |
| BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 188.965 | $15,068 | 14.9% | +0.45% |
| Cash | $0 | 0.0% |
Decision log
2026-07-03 — traded (5 orders)
We're building a 5-stock 'sin' portfolio that blends reliable cash-generating dividend payers with more volatile casino/betting names for growth kick. On the steady side: Altria (MO) gets the largest slot (25%, the max allowed) because it pays the highest yield in the group (5.8%) and has strong recent momentum (+30% over 6 months). Philip Morris (PM) adds a second tobacco anchor (20%) with a solid 3.2% yield and consistent gains. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) rounds out the defensive sleeve (15%) — its dividend is smaller (1.7%) but it has delivered strong price appreciation (+28% over 6 months), giving some growth alongside income. For the cyclical casino exposure, we picked MGM (20%) and Caesars (CZR) (20%), both of which don't pay dividends but have shown strong 3- and 6-month momentum (MGM +28%, CZR +29%), reflecting a recovering consumer and travel/gambling demand. We avoided LVS and WYNN because both are down sharply over the past 1-6 months, and skipped DKNG given its steep 6-month decline. This mix gives roughly 60% in cash-flow-rich, dividend-paying names (tobacco/beer) and 40% in higher-beta casino operators, aiming to capture steady income while still participating in the cyclical upside of gambling stocks.
| Ticker | Side | Target weight | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO Altria Group Inc | buy | 25.0% | filled |
| PM Philip Morris International Inc | buy | 20.0% | filled |
| BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | buy | 15.0% | filled |
| MGM MGM Resorts International | buy | 20.0% | filled |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc | buy | 20.0% | filled |